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UO

URBAN ONE, INC. (UONE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 net revenue fell 11.7% year over year to $92.235M; Adjusted EBITDA declined 42% to $12.857M as radio (-12.4% ex-political), Reach (-30.9%), digital (-16.1%), and cable TV (-6.3% ad; -10% affiliate) remained soft .
  • Management reaffirmed FY 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $75M and highlighted substantial deleveraging: $88.6M of notes repurchased year-to-date at 53.9% of par, reducing gross debt to ~$495.9M and cash to ~$79.8M–$80M .
  • Q2 radio pacings weakened to -8.7%, implying another subdued quarter before a back-half weighted year; digital profitability is skewed to H2 and TV ratings have stabilized, aided by CLEO TV and FAST/AVOD traction .
  • Key stock catalysts: continued discounted debt buybacks, cost actions targeted mid-year, and execution on TV distribution (FAST/AVOD) and local digital monetization initiatives .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • TV ratings stabilized versus Q4 lows and are tracking to budget; CLEO TV delivery up and FAST/AVOD contributed ~$1.1M in ad revenue .
    • Operating expenses ex-D&A, SBC, and impairment declined 8.6% YoY to $80.7M on lower third‑party fees, content costs, and employee compensation; cost actions ($5M annualized from Q4 headcount reduction) continue .
    • Aggressive deleveraging: $88.6M of notes repurchased YTD at ~53.9% of par; gross debt reduced to ~$495.9M while maintaining ~$80M cash and undrawn revolver .
      • “We reaffirm our full year guidance of $75 million in Adjusted EBITDA... our focus remains on controlling costs, managing leverage and retaining a strong liquidity position.” — Alfred Liggins .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Core radio advertising down 12.4% YoY; Q2 pacings deteriorated to -8.7%, with national weakness a primary driver and political dollars minimal in Q1 .
    • Digital down 16.1% YoY on streaming/podcasting renegotiations and weaker national digital demand; digital Adjusted EBITDA fell to $58K from $2.3M YoY .
    • Intangible impairment ($6.443M) to radio licenses across five markets; effective tax rate inflated by discrete items (valuation allowance), driving net loss of $(11.742)M and EPS of $(0.26) .

Financial Results

Consolidated performance (oldest → newest):

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Revenue ($M)$110.393 $117.127 $92.235
Operating Income ($M)N/A$(1.855) $2.098
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$25.413 $26.870 $12.857
Net Income to Common ($M)N/A$(35.658) $(11.742)
EPS (Basic) ($)N/A$(0.78) $(0.26)
EBITDA Margin %23.0% 22.9% 13.9%
EBIT Margin %N/A-1.6% 2.3%
Net Income Margin %N/A-30.4% -12.7%

YoY and sequential context (Q1 focus):

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Revenue ($M)$104.410 $117.127 $92.235
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$22.257 $26.870 $12.857
Operating Income ($M)$12.888 $(1.855) $2.098
Net Income to Common ($M)$7.493 $(35.658) $(11.742)
EPS (Basic) ($)$0.15 $(0.78) $(0.26)

Q1 2025 segment breakdown:

SegmentNet Revenue ($M)Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
Radio Broadcasting$32.610 $2.848
Reach Media$5.853 $(0.551)
Digital$10.212 $0.058
Cable Television$44.193 $18.592
Corporate/Elims/Other$(0.633) $(8.090)
Consolidated$92.235 $12.857

Revenue sources (Q1 YoY):

SourceQ1 2024 ($M)Q1 2025 ($M)$ Change% Change
Radio Advertising$41.341 $36.217 $(5.124) (12.4)%
Political Advertising$1.237 $0.150 $(1.087) (87.9)%
Digital Advertising$12.167 $10.211 $(1.956) (16.1)%
Cable TV Advertising$27.144 $25.425 $(1.719) (6.3)%
Cable TV Affiliate Fees$20.787 $18.717 $(2.070) (10.0)%
Events & Other$1.734 $1.515 $(0.219) (12.6)%
Net Revenue$104.410 $92.235 $(12.175) (11.7)%

KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025
Cash & Restricted Cash ($M)$137.574 $115.568
Total Debt, net ($M)$579.069 $551.494
Gross Debt after April deeds ($M)$567.6 (Jan) $495.93 (current)
Net Leverage (Net Debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA)4.33x 4.69x
Capex ($M)$1.3 (Q4) $2.5 (Q1)
Share RepurchasesClass A: 1.387M shares; $2.1M (Q4) Class A: 449,252; $0.7M at $1.48; Class D: 303,622; $0.3M at $0.87 (Q1)
TV One Nielsen Subs (M)37.2 (Q4 end) 35.6 (Q1 end)
CLEO TV Nielsen Subs (M)36.4 (Q4 end) 35.0 (Q1)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA ($)FY 2025$75.0M (3/27) $75.0M (reaffirmed 5/13) Maintained
Core Radio Advertising PacingsQ2 2025(1.7)% (as of 3/27) (8.7)% (as of 5/13) Lowered
Digital Profitability TimingFY 2025Back-half weighted Back-half weighted; Q2 not strongly profitable Maintained
Capital AllocationFY 2025Continue debt reduction, disciplined capital deployment Continue discounted buybacks; ~$79.8–$80M cash; undrawn revolver Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Radio ad environment (national vs local)Q1 pacings -13.6%; Q2 improving to -1.7%; local up in Q2; national soft Q2 pacings weakened to ~-9%; local down low single digits; national weakness drives declines Deteriorated near-term
TV ratings & deliveryUnder-delivery; churn; Q1 stabilization starting Ratings stabilized to budget; CLEO TV delivery up; FAST/AVOD +$1.1M Stabilizing
Digital monetizationCTV reclassified to TV; streaming/podcasting output deal cut; traffic headwinds (AI, platform changes) Digital revenue -16%; Adj. EBITDA $58K; profit skewed to H2 Headwinds near-term
Deleveraging$140M 2024 buybacks; $17M Jan 2025; cash $117M $88.6M YTD buybacks at 53.9%; gross debt ~$495.9M; ~$80M cash Continuing
Cost actionsQ4 headcount reduction (~5%) saving ~$5M/yr Further cost cuts targeted by mid-year; not in $75M guide Additional actions pending
Tariffs/macroN/AManagement cautious on tariff-driven inflation and ad budgets; expects no positive ad rebound in 2025 Cautious macro

Management Commentary

  • “Second quarter core radio advertising pacings have weakened... now (8.7)%... we reaffirm our full year guidance of $75 million in Adjusted EBITDA.” — Alfred Liggins .
  • “Digital revenues were down (16.1)% driven by expected weakness in streaming and podcasting revenues.” — Alfred Liggins .
  • “Cable TV advertising was (6.3)%. Our cable TV ratings stabilized significantly... and are performing in line with our 2025 budget.” — Alfred Liggins .
  • “We bought back... $88.6 million of our debt at an average price of about 53.9%... reduced our gross debt down to $495.9 million, and we’re still sitting on about $80 million of cash.” — Alfred Liggins .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cost controls: Additional cost opportunities targeted by end of June; $75M EBITDA guide excludes further back-half cost reductions .
  • Earnings cadence: More than half of 2025 EBITDA expected in H2; Q2 “a little bit better than Q1, but similarly weak,” with digital profit largely back-half .
  • Debt buybacks and liquidity: Opportunistic repurchases to capture discounts; undrawn revolver provides flexibility; potential liability management only nearer to 2028 maturity .
  • Radio mix: Approx. 2:1 local vs national dollars; local pacing down low single digits vs national weakness .
  • Cable affiliate renewals: 2025 renewals include Charter (Q4), Verizon (option), NCTC (September); 2026 includes DIRECTV/AT&T and Comcast .
  • Programming spend: Down ~10% YoY; emphasis on FAST/AVOD distribution over incremental linear-only spend .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data for Q1 2025 was unavailable for EPS and revenue estimates; no “beat/miss” comparison can be made. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Actual Q1 2025 revenue reported: $92.235M (company-reported actual, not consensus) .
  • Implication: Street models likely need to reflect weaker Q2 radio pacings, H2-weighted EBITDA, digital headwinds, and the benefit from continued debt repurchases .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term softness persists: Q2 radio pacings worsened to -8.7%, suggesting limited upside before H2; maintain caution on Q2 setup .
  • Back-half weighted year: Digital profitability and TV stabilization imply H2 earnings concentration; position for H2 catalysts if cost cuts materialize .
  • Deleveraging is the story: Discounted buybacks at ~50–54% of par rapidly improve leverage; continued opportunism could be a positive stock driver .
  • TV strategy pivot: Growth to come from FAST/AVOD and broader distribution rather than heavy linear content spend; watch affiliate renewals and AVOD contribution .
  • Digital rebuild: Streaming/podcasting deals reset and traffic acquisition costs pressure margins; local digital penetration is a structural opportunity vs peers .
  • Tax and impairment noise: Q1 discrete tax items and radio license impairments distorted GAAP; focus on Adjusted EBITDA and cash metrics for trajectory .
  • Actionable: Monitor June cost program, debt buyback cadence, Q2 radio pacing updates, and any disclosure on digital/local monetization tools; use weakness to build into H2 if capital allocation pace remains strong .
Note: S&P Global consensus was unavailable for Q1 2025 for UONE; values retrieved from S&P Global.*